Sergey Kondratiev, Deputy Head of the Economic Department of the Institute for Energy and Finance, commented to the Kommersant newspaper on the dynamics of gas production in Turkmenistan.
Uzbekistan faced massive power and gas supply outages in the middle of winter, the reason is the shortage of gas from neighboring Turkmenistan due to problems at the Galkynysh field. It is still difficult to estimate how long the repair work at the field will take. But if the timing turns out to be long, then the problem may affect exports to China.
At the moment, it is unclear how significant the problems faced by Turkmengaz are, in particular, how long it will take to eliminate hydrate jams on field gas pipelines at the Galkynysh field, Sergey Kondratiev notes. According to him, in a normal situation, it may take several days to eliminate such traffic jams (local heating of the gas pipeline, the introduction of inhibitors).
During the winter period, Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan reduce supplies through the CAC, directing gas to the needs of the domestic market, he recalls. Turkmenistan accounts for 17-18% of all gas imports to China."If the problem is massive, we can expect a decrease in gas supplies through the CAC system, which, in turn, may force China to significantly increase LNG imports," the analyst suggests.
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