Sergey Kondratiev, Principal Director on Economic Studies at the Institute for Energy and Finance, commented to the Kommersant newspaper on natural gas supplies to Uzbekistan.
Sergey Kondratiev expects domestic gas demand in Uzbekistan to grow to 51-52 billion cubic meters in 2023 (48.4 billion cubic meters in 2022). If restrictions on supplies were not imposed on the domestic market, it would already be possible to see consumption above 52-53 billion cubic meters, he believes, adding that imports from Russia will be enough to meet these needs.
At the same time, Uzbekistan's problems with exports to China will still remain, the expert notes. So, in the first quarter of 2023, only 86 million cubic meters were exported to China.
"But it will be necessary to upgrade to launch the CAC in reverse mode. Most likely, one branch will be allocated for deliveries," he believes.
"I expect that in general, in 2023, supplies to China will not exceed 2.5–3 billion cubic meters, in 2024 they will reach 5-6 billion cubic meters, mainly due to the growth of gas imports from Russia for supplies to consumers inside the country," Sergey Kondratiev says.
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