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Industry and economy under threat: why Poland has cut coal production record

26 April 2024

Belogoryev Alexey M. Research and Development Director, Director of the Center for Energy strategic analysis and forecasting

Alexey Belogoryev, Research and Development Director of the Institute for Energy and Finance, commented on the prospects for coal consumption in Poland to Baltnews.

According to Alexey Belogoryev, in Germany there was a special case associated with the simultaneous loss of most gas sources, and in Poland there is no such dependence on imports.

"I don't think they will have shock jumps if Warsaw doesn't make mistakes in the process of abandoning coal generation. The shortage of energy resources can be avoided. Coal can be replaced either by gas or by renewable energy sources. And Poland is developing both of these areas. Yes, this country has a limited opportunity to buy gas, since it refused pipeline supplies from Russia. It is unlikely that it is interested in increasing LNG imports. At least for the moment," the expert noted.

"Starting in 2026, an excess supply of liquefied natural gas is expected on the market, and then different options will be available. So far, Warsaw is unlikely to want to increase LNG volumes. The non–main way of replacing coal will be the same as in Germany - the development of wind and solar energy. How synchronized the withdrawal of coal power and the introduction of renewable energy will be is another matter," he added.

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